After stunning Tunisia with ten men in the round of 16, Mali now set their sights on a place in the final four. This Mali vs Senegal prediction leans toward the Lions of Teranga, who arrive in ominous form following a convincing 3-1 win over Sudan. While Mali showed incredible grit to advance, Senegal’s attacking depth makes them the favorites for this high-stakes West African derby in Tangier.
Mali vs Senegal Preview
Mali enters this quarter-final following a dramatic shootout win over Tunisia. Despite playing with ten men for most of the match, the Eagles forced a 1-1 draw through a last-minute Lassine Sinayoko penalty before Djigui Diarra’s goalkeeping heroics sealed the progression. However, they will be without the suspended Woyo Coulibaly and the injured Mahamadou Doumbia.
Senegal, meanwhile, enjoyed a smoother path by recovering from an early deficit to beat Sudan 3-1. With Pape Gueye in scoring form and Sadio Mane pulling the strings with three tournament assists, the Lions of Teranga look like a complete unit. This is the first AFCON meeting between these sides since 2004, adding a layer of historical tension to the clash.
Stats
- Head-to-Head: Senegal dominates with 7 wins, 6 draws, and only 2 defeats against Mali.
- Goals Scored: Senegal has been potent with 10 goals in the tournament, while Mali has netted only 3.
- Form Guide: Senegal is on a 9-match unbeaten run; Mali has one win in their last six games.
- Defense: Both sides have been resolute, conceding just 5 goals combined throughout the competition.
Mali vs Senegal Probable Lineups
Mali: Diarra (GK); Camara, Diaby, Dante, Traore, L. Coulibaly, Dieng, Sangare, Haidara, Bissouma, Sinayoko.
Senegal: Mendy (GK); Diatta, Koulibaly, Niakhate, Jakobs, I. Gueye, P. Gueye, H. Diarra, Mane, Sarr, Jackson.
Mali vs Senegal Match Winner Prediction
Senegal enter this contest as the favourites to win this match. While Mali’s defensive discipline is impressive, Senegal possesses superior firepower and a significantly better head-to-head record. The Lions of Teranga are priced at 1.61 to win, reflecting their status as the more balanced side.
Final Score Prediction: Senegal to win 1-0.
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